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Red89
17193.9
859247.4
454136.7
Blue75
907240.8
632615.2
253430.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989660801201408975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+8Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
54Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
89Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.0
47.147.2
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End5.2
red by 6.5
40.80.3
41.140.8
Auto7.7
Teleop31.6
End1.6
Second
4541
#14
36.70.0
36.536.5
Auto11.0
Teleop23.8
End1.9
red by 6.8
2534
#19
30.00.3
30.230.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Third
1719
#27
3.90.0
3.63.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 11.3
6326
#24
15.20.3
15.515.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6