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Red102
219937.3
450517.6
172753.8
Blue90
623911.6
524317.6
237716.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1322205010015020025030010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+6Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
4Coral scored#5
19Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +23
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
73Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#5
7L3#4
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points0
102Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.80.4
55.354.9
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
red by 36.3
5243
#10
17.61.1
15.816.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Second
2199
#13
37.30.4
38.738.3
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End7.7
red by 20.3
16.91.1
15.116.2
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Third
4505
#26
17.60.4
19.018.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 6.0
6239
#25
11.61.1
9.810.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End0.5