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Red29
379325.9
111122.9
862213.1
Blue94
511529.0
409917.2
162952.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5912201001502002502994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+71
Endgame+69
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +8
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points27
19Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +63
1Coral scored#9
2Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
0Processor points12
0Net points20
0Algae points32
2Total teleop65
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +65
4Foul points0
29Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.9
26.425.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.6
End2.4
blue by 26.5
52.40.2
54.554.3
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
Second
22.90.9
23.822.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End2.2
blue by 6.1
5115
#11
29.00.2
31.231.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
8622
#18
13.10.9
13.612.7
Auto1.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 4.1
4099
#22
17.20.2
19.419.1
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4