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Red57
374842.5
99981.5
872619.4
Blue71
623911.6
524317.6
237716.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions763701001502002503003504005771

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#8
31Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
35Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
57Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#17
42.50.2
42.742.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 25.0
5243
#10
17.60.6
16.917.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Second
8726
#16
19.40.2
19.519.4
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End0.4
red by 2.4
16.90.6
16.216.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Third
9998
#12
1.50.3
1.81.5
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.2
blue by 10.1
6239
#25
11.60.6
10.911.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End0.5