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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86620501001503349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+28
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#9
14Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
18Total teleop41
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
12Foul points0
33Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#5
36.96.8
27.520.6
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 7.7
29.20.8
19.819.0
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
6863
#33
16.56.8
20.814.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
red by 0.1
4638
#13
16.30.8
18.717.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
2377
#35DQ
8.36.8
25.018.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 1.5
2963
#17DQ
9.80.8
17.817.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed