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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62900204080100120140160745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +26
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
4Total teleop30
Reef
0L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
7Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8622
#19
13.45.9
17.211.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 27.1
40.53.8
35.832.0
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
Second
8326
#34
11.05.9
21.515.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
blue by 3.0
1111
#29
14.03.8
22.819.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
2849
#36
8.55.9
18.412.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 0.7
5243
#26
9.23.8
17.413.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed