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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557202040801001201401602146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +13
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points23
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
14Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
21Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6239
#32
13.73.2
16.313.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
blue by 14.0
27.61.7
24.422.7
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
Second
5830
#25
11.43.2
17.314.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 6.8
5115
#12
18.21.7
23.321.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Third
5841
#27
7.33.2
16.012.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 6.5
7886
#30
13.81.7
14.012.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed