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Red57
253712.9
621312.1
162950.3
Blue121
68628.3
482127.1
88838.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8191406010012014057121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+32
Fouls+64
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +29
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points57
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
0Processor points0
8Net points12
8Algae points12
40Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points32
57Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.31.6
33.531.9
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 12.2
888
#4
38.10.2
28.228.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
Second
2537
#37
12.91.6
21.319.6
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 15.5
686
#10
28.30.2
29.529.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
Third
6213
#31
12.11.6
16.815.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 15.0
4821
#11
27.10.2
21.120.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned