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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5885020401001201402588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +2
4Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
4Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +15
3Coral scored#4
9Coral points16
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
0Processor points0
0Net points8
0Algae points8
9Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#1
0L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
12Foul points54
25Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#24
16.74.5
19.314.8
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 20.1
36.84.2
30.025.8
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
Second
612
#22
11.74.5
18.714.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 1.2
116
#16
12.94.2
23.719.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Third
2912
#20
8.74.5
15.410.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 2.7
1915
#21
11.54.2
18.013.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned