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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7687406010012049110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+31
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#9
31Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
41Total teleop65
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points30
49Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7770
#15
13.83.6
18.815.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
blue by 30.3
44.21.0
29.828.8
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Second
4456
#18
13.83.6
23.119.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
blue by 6.6
20.41.0
23.622.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
4541
#14
12.93.6
25.722.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
red by 4.7
5549
#23
8.21.0
21.620.6
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsEarned