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Red53
623913.7
61116.3
454112.9
Blue82
191511.5
55498.2
88838.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66740501001502002505382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+11
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points34
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
37Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points18
53Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#28
16.32.0
21.719.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
blue by 21.8
888
#4
38.11.4
28.026.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
Second
6239
#32
13.72.0
13.111.1
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
red by 2.2
1915
#21
11.51.4
13.812.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Third
4541
#14
12.92.0
22.020.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
red by 4.7
5549
#23
8.21.4
20.619.2
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed