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Red21
29639.8
111114.0
788613.8
Blue24
11612.9
68628.3
463816.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52720204060801001201402124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +4
1Coral scored#0
4Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
4Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
10Foul points14
21Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1111
#29
14.04.1
19.014.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 14.3
686
#10
28.35.7
24.418.7
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
Second
7886
#30
13.84.1
14.510.4
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.2
blue by 2.5
4638
#13
16.35.7
17.311.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Third
2963
#17
9.84.1
14.210.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 3.1
116
#16
12.95.7
19.513.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed