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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6673204060801003693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+51
Endgame+59
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +23
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
21Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
2Foul points0
36Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.82.7
24.621.9
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
blue by 13.4
50.33.1
31.334.4
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
Second
1111
#29
14.02.7
14.912.2
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 13.6
27.63.1
21.024.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
Third
5549
#23
8.22.7
19.216.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 3.2
5830
#25
11.43.1
12.515.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed