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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48632040801002381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+48
Endgame+52
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +37
3Coral scored#10
12Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
12Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points6
23Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1719
#24
16.72.4
10.07.5
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 27.5
44.22.3
30.132.4
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Second
4541
#14
12.92.4
20.117.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
blue by 0.9
7770
#15
13.82.3
10.312.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
2849
#36
8.52.4
11.79.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 5.2
6239
#32
13.72.3
11.113.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed