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Red44
511518.2
61116.3
191511.5
Blue49
172740.5
23778.3
445613.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions567202040801001204449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +20
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
17Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
12Foul points0
44Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#12
18.21.9
16.714.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
blue by 22.3
40.51.3
26.325.1
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
Second
611
#28
16.31.9
19.817.9
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 2.5
4456
#18
13.81.3
20.719.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
1915
#21
11.51.9
12.410.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
red by 3.2
2377
#35
8.31.3
13.211.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed