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Red100
62036.9
29128.7
482127.1
Blue78
61211.7
686316.5
832611.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61410208010010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+16Teleop
+26Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#11
57Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
75Total teleop59
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points4
100Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#5
36.93.0
22.926.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 20.5
6863
#33
16.51.8
11.313.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Second
4821
#11
27.13.0
18.121.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 15.4
612
#22
11.71.8
9.211.0
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Third
2912
#20
8.73.0
9.312.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 2.3
8326
#34
11.01.8
15.016.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed