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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4748253035404550552224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
2Coral scored#3
7Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
7Total teleop14
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
22Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#10
28.32.2
18.716.5
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
red by 14.6
4456
#18
13.82.0
19.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Second
5115
#12
18.22.2
14.812.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 8.4
2963
#17
9.82.0
10.18.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
5841
#27
7.32.2
8.46.2
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 1.4
2912
#20
8.72.0
12.310.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed