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Red105
463816.3
907244.2
482127.1
Blue59
253712.9
171916.7
623913.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8030020406010012014010559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#8
49Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
73Total teleop39
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
105Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.4
32.434.9
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 27.5
1719
#24
16.71.8
7.59.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Second
4821
#11
27.12.4
21.123.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
red by 13.4
6239
#32
13.71.8
13.415.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
Third
4638
#13
16.32.4
11.614.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 3.4
2537
#37
12.91.8
10.111.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned