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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4462020801001202046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#8
9Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
9Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points2
20Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8326
#34
11.02.3
16.814.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
blue by 1.9
4541
#14
12.91.3
17.616.4
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Second
5243
#26
9.22.3
9.06.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 2.1
5830
#25
11.41.3
15.614.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Third
2377
#35
8.32.3
11.99.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
red by 0.1
5549
#23
8.21.3
16.415.1
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed