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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3760020801003029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+3
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto12
Teleoperatedlevel
3Coral scored#3
11Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
15Total teleop15
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
30Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#13
16.30.4
14.013.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 4.1
20.42.2
16.914.7
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Second
2912
#20
8.70.4
10.39.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 5.0
4456
#18
13.82.2
17.515.3
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
2377
#35
8.30.4
9.69.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 2.7
8326
#34
11.02.2
14.512.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed