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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703702060801001201401609375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
11Coral scored#9
41Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
6Processor points0
12Net points12
18Algae points12
59Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points18
93Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.33.7
35.739.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 13.3
620
#5
36.92.2
24.526.7
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
686
#10
28.33.7
14.017.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
red by 11.6
1719
#24
16.72.2
7.59.7
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
2849
#36
8.53.7
10.414.1
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 0.7
5243
#26
9.22.2
5.17.3
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed