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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions732004060801001201407123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
12Coral scored#2
42Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
56Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
15Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
71Total score23

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.3
33.334.7
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 34.4
2963
#17
9.80.1
7.17.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Second
116
#16
12.91.3
13.414.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
red by 4.6
2377
#35
8.30.1
9.29.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Third
612
#22
11.71.3
12.213.5
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 4.4
5841
#27
7.30.1
7.67.5
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed