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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49680204060801001201857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+27
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
2Coral scored#6
8Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop32
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points12
18Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6863
#33
16.52.1
16.013.9
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 24.1
40.50.9
26.926.0
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
Second
2537
#37
12.92.1
10.88.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Level
4541
#14
12.90.9
13.913.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Third
2912
#20
8.72.1
9.97.8
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 3.4
6213
#31
12.10.9
12.211.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsEarned