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Red62
623913.7
445613.8
68628.3
Blue69
61211.7
62036.9
58417.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4456020801006269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
7Coral scored#9
24Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
28Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
24Foul points2
62Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#10
28.30.4
17.617.3
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
blue by 8.6
620
#5
36.92.1
26.728.9
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Second
4456
#18
13.80.4
11.210.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 2.1
612
#22
11.72.1
13.515.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Third
6239
#32
13.70.4
12.512.2
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
red by 6.3
5841
#27
7.32.1
7.59.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed