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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6244020801001206353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+14Teleop
+10Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#6
38Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
6Processor points0
8Net points12
14Algae points12
52Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points0
63Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.1
39.339.4
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 21.0
29.20.7
16.517.2
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
2963
#17
9.80.1
7.07.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
blue by 4.0
7770
#15
13.80.7
13.113.8
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Third
5549
#23
8.20.1
10.010.1
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 2.8
8326
#34
11.00.7
11.912.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed