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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315802040801001564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+49
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +42
0Coral scored#9
0Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop42
Reef
0L4#5
0L3#2
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#2
0Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
15Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#16
12.92.1
14.712.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
blue by 25.2
888
#4
38.11.6
31.132.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
Second
5830
#25
11.42.1
12.110.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
blue by 5.3
1719
#24
16.71.6
9.711.3
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
5243
#26
9.22.1
7.35.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 1.0
2377
#35
8.31.6
9.110.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed