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Red68
788613.8
172740.5
872620.4
Blue67
621312.1
533836.8
482127.1
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65762040601001206867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +1
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
53Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
68Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.0
26.027.0
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
red by 3.7
36.80.2
28.328.1
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
Second
20.41.0
14.615.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
blue by 6.7
4821
#11
27.10.2
23.022.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Third
7886
#30
13.81.0
13.614.5
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.2
red by 1.7
6213
#31
12.10.2
11.311.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsMissed