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Red73
859029.2
872620.4
511518.2
Blue52
463816.3
253712.9
111114.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53340204060801007352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
41Coral points17
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
55Total teleop25
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
73Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.22.9
17.220.1
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
red by 12.9
4638
#13
16.31.8
12.414.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
Second
20.42.7
15.618.3
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 6.4
1111
#29
14.01.8
12.013.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
5115
#12
18.22.7
14.216.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
red by 5.3
2537
#37
12.91.8
9.911.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed