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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554202060801005127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
+32Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
5Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
21Total teleop3
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points8
51Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.3
25.826.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
red by 11.3
611
#28
16.32.2
16.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Second
4541
#14
12.90.3
13.013.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
blue by 0.6
8622
#19
13.42.2
13.211.0
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Third
5841
#27
7.30.3
9.69.9
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 0.9
2377
#35
8.32.2
10.78.5
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed