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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616202040801001206951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#6
40Coral points23
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
60Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
69Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.20.5
35.936.3
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 17.1
4821
#11
27.11.6
22.821.2
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
1915
#21
11.50.5
7.88.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
blue by 2.4
7886
#30
13.81.6
14.513.0
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Third
2912
#20
8.70.5
8.69.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 5.1
7770
#15
13.81.6
13.812.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed