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Red130
172740.5
162950.3
686316.5
Blue34
11612.9
623913.7
28498.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9538020608012014016013034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+96Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
30Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +72
19Coral scored#3
70Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
84Total teleop12
Reef
9L4#1
6L3#1
5L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
130Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.34.2
39.443.6
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 36.6
6239
#32
13.71.2
12.211.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
Second
40.54.5
27.031.5
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
red by 27.6
116
#16
12.91.2
12.611.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Third
6863
#33
16.54.2
13.918.1
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
red by 8.0
2849
#36
8.51.3
13.011.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned