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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5940020801001208824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +58
13Coral scored#3
48Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
72Total teleop14
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
88Total score24

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.83.9
28.132.0
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
red by 24.8
6213
#31
12.11.3
11.19.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Second
686
#10
28.33.9
17.321.2
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
red by 16.7
612
#22
11.71.4
15.714.2
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Third
5243
#26
9.23.9
5.29.1
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 1.0
5549
#23
8.21.3
10.18.7
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed