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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3819060801529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +18
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop18
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
15Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6239
#32
13.71.4
11.09.5
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
red by 1.6
6213
#31
12.10.5
9.810.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Second
1915
#21
11.51.5
8.46.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
red by 1.7
2963
#17
9.80.5
5.15.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Third
8326
#34
11.01.4
10.69.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
red by 1.8
5243
#26
9.20.5
9.19.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed