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Red58
777013.8
872620.4
61116.3
Blue17
61211.7
111114.0
583011.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484202060801001201405817

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+47Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
8Coral scored#1
30Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
42Total teleop5
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
58Total score17

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.3
18.319.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 6.4
1111
#29
14.02.2
13.811.7
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Second
611
#28
16.31.3
14.115.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 4.6
612
#22
11.72.3
14.211.9
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
Third
7770
#15
13.81.3
12.213.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
red by 2.4
5830
#25
11.42.2
11.39.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed