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Red82
859029.2
141827.6
253712.9
Blue122
162950.3
511518.2
62036.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56107015082122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+54
Endgame+52
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
17Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +41
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points50
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
0Processor points12
8Net points16
8Algae points28
37Total teleop78
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
12Foul points0
82Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.3
20.121.4
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
blue by 21.0
50.32.9
43.646.5
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
Second
27.61.2
26.127.3
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
blue by 9.3
620
#5
36.92.9
31.434.3
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
2537
#37
12.91.2
11.812.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 5.3
5115
#12
18.22.9
16.919.8
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned