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Red48
88838.1
463816.3
52439.2
Blue136
907244.2
172740.5
29639.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56850204010012014048136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+88
AutonomousRed +2
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points24
29Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#12
15Coral points43
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
0Processor points12
0Net points16
0Algae points28
15Total teleop71
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#8
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +88
0Foul points32
48Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
38.10.6
30.730.0
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
blue by 6.1
44.22.7
36.339.0
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Second
4638
#13
16.30.6
14.213.6
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
blue by 24.2
40.52.7
34.036.7
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
Third
5243
#26
9.20.6
9.69.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 0.6
2963
#17
9.82.5
5.68.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned