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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493502060801001206415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
7Coral scored#1
24Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
42Total teleop2
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
64Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#10
28.31.5
23.525.0
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
red by 12.1
611
#28
16.31.8
15.413.6
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
Second
1719
#24
16.71.5
12.914.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 8.2
2849
#36
8.52.0
11.09.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
6213
#31
12.11.5
10.311.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 4.8
5841
#27
7.31.8
9.27.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed