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Red118
111114.0
907244.2
859029.2
Blue53
832611.0
482127.1
454112.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915202040608010012014016011853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+47Teleop
+43Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +43
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
81Total teleop38
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
24Foul points2
118Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.1
39.040.2
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 17.1
4821
#11
27.10.4
22.221.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Second
29.21.2
21.422.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
red by 16.4
4541
#14
12.90.4
13.413.0
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Third
1111
#29
14.01.1
11.712.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
red by 3.0
8326
#34
11.00.4
9.28.7
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed