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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596640801001205178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+19
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points28
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
19Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points8
51Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.7
27.326.6
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
blue by 22.6
50.30.7
46.547.2
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
Second
20.40.7
19.618.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 9.0
1915
#21
11.50.7
6.87.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Third
6213
#31
12.10.6
11.811.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
red by 2.9
5243
#26
9.20.6
9.09.6
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed