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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6922040608010012012918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+91Teleop
+99Endgame
+111Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points6
31Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +72
13Coral scored#0
48Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
72Total teleop0
Reef
8L4#0
5L3#1
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#1
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +111
12Foul points0
129Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
38.14.6
30.134.6
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
red by 27.1
8326
#34
11.00.6
8.78.1
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
Second
29.25.0
22.627.6
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
red by 20.5
2912
#20
8.70.6
9.79.1
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
6239
#32
13.74.6
8.513.0
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
red by 6.3
5841
#27
7.30.6
7.36.7
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed