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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434420304050606036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
51Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points6
60Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.41.1
18.920.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
red by 3.9
6863
#33
16.51.4
17.416.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Second
5830
#25
11.41.1
9.210.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 2.9
2849
#36
8.51.5
9.07.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
Third
2963
#17
9.81.1
8.19.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
red by 1.6
5549
#23
8.21.4
8.77.3
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed14%Barge oddsMissed