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Red58
11612.9
141827.6
111114.0
Blue111
907244.2
454112.9
62036.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52104015058111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+69
Endgame+57
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +48
5Coral scored#17
17Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
27Total teleop75
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
6Foul points2
58Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.4
26.626.2
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
blue by 16.5
44.21.3
40.241.5
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
Second
1111
#29
14.00.4
12.812.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 22.9
620
#5
36.91.3
34.736.0
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
Third
116
#16
12.90.4
11.110.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Level
4541
#14
12.91.3
13.014.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsMissed