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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions602902040801001206430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+36Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
39Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points2
64Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.6
34.234.9
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
red by 23.0
7770
#15
13.80.4
14.514.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.0
End0.9
Second
4638
#13
16.30.6
14.615.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 7.1
5243
#26
9.20.4
9.69.2
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End0.8
Third
5841
#27
7.30.6
6.77.3
Auto3.8
Teleop1.4
End2.2
blue by 1.4
2912
#20
8.70.4
9.18.7
Auto2.1
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed