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Red81
61116.3
583011.4
172740.5
Blue48
623913.7
29639.8
511518.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6639020801001201408148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +39
11Coral scored#4
38Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
58Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
81Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.51.7
36.137.7
Auto8.0
Teleop26.7
End5.8
red by 22.3
5115
#12
18.20.7
17.117.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Second
611
#28
16.31.5
14.315.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 2.6
6239
#32
13.70.7
13.013.7
Auto5.2
Teleop4.1
End4.4
Third
5830
#25
11.41.5
10.311.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
red by 1.6
2963
#17
9.80.7
9.19.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned