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Red107
832611.0
141827.6
907244.2
Blue85
872620.4
68628.3
686316.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937002040608010012014010785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+16Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
68Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points6
107Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.21.7
41.543.2
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 15.8
686
#10
28.30.6
25.726.4
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
Second
27.61.9
26.228.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.6
End8.5
red by 7.2
20.40.6
20.020.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.9
End1.0
Third
8326
#34
11.01.7
8.19.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
blue by 5.5
6863
#33
16.50.6
16.016.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed