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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88300501001507621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+55Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points6
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
44Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
76Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.1
49.249.3
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 36.2
1111
#29
14.01.0
12.511.5
Auto3.3
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Second
4456
#18
13.80.1
13.613.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End2.3
red by 0.9
4541
#14
12.91.0
14.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Third
612
#22
11.70.1
11.611.7
Auto2.3
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 3.4
2377
#35
8.31.0
7.36.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed