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Red73
55498.2
62036.9
253712.9
Blue46
788613.8
191511.5
862213.4
78%Model gave it22%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674102060801001201407346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#6
39Coral points23
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
47Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
73Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#5
36.91.3
36.037.3
Auto8.3
Teleop25.8
End2.9
red by 23.1
7886
#30
13.80.5
13.413.8
Auto2.3
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Second
2537
#37
12.91.3
11.512.9
Auto4.2
Teleop7.2
End1.5
blue by 0.6
8622
#19
13.40.5
13.413.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Third
5549
#23
8.21.3
7.38.6
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3
blue by 3.3
1915
#21
11.50.5
10.911.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed