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Red82
88838.1
28498.5
621312.1
Blue91
482127.1
11612.9
859029.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647720401001201408291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+1
Endgame+13
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points8
16Total auto17
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
56Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
6Foul points2
82Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#4
38.10.9
34.635.5
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End3.2
red by 8.9
29.21.1
27.628.7
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
6213
#31
12.10.9
11.212.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 15.0
4821
#11
27.11.0
24.925.9
Auto5.2
Teleop17.3
End4.5
Third
2849
#36
8.51.0
7.58.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 4.4
116
#16
12.91.0
10.711.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned