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Red138
162950.3
832611.0
907244.2
Blue34
862213.4
55498.2
454112.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1262805010015020013834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+92Teleop
+90Endgame
+104Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +61
16Coral scored#3
59Coral points12
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
83Total teleop22
Reef
8L4#2
8L3#0
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
27Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +104
14Foul points0
138Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.5
49.349.8
Auto17.1
Teleop30.3
End2.9
red by 36.8
8622
#19
13.40.0
13.913.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Second
44.20.5
43.243.7
Auto9.5
Teleop33.1
End1.6
red by 31.3
4541
#14
12.90.0
13.313.3
Auto3.7
Teleop8.0
End1.2
Third
8326
#34
11.00.5
9.810.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End1.5
red by 2.8
5549
#23
8.20.0
8.68.6
Auto1.0
Teleop6.0
End1.3