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Red98
533836.8
23778.3
68628.3
Blue70
511518.2
61116.3
859029.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7366020401001201401609870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+44Teleop
+36Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
12Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +49
14Coral scored#6
52Coral points21
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
80Total teleop31
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#4
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points8
98Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.7
34.935.5
Auto5.9
Teleop29.1
End1.8
red by 7.6
29.20.0
28.728.7
Auto5.7
Teleop20.3
End3.3
Second
686
#10
28.30.7
26.427.0
Auto6.1
Teleop20.5
End1.8
red by 10.1
5115
#12
18.20.0
17.717.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.3
End3.9
Third
2377
#35
8.30.7
6.37.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.6
End1.2
blue by 8.0
611
#28
16.30.0
15.815.8
Auto4.4
Teleop10.5
End1.3